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Da prediction

You may purchase your thank-you cards now, Domer Nation. I have kicked the tires on this BCS championship until my toes throb, and I've come to two conclusions:

1. Whoever made this a 10-point spread for 'Bama was just trying to get the Notre Dame money flowing.

2. That same person, however, is right about the outcome.

These are two football teams who've made their bones on defense and physicality, and so in the end you go with the team that's been doing it longer. And that's Alabama.

And, no, that's no reflection in particular on a veteran quarterback (A.J. McCarron) vs. a redshirt freshman who's still growing into the position (Everett Golson), because when it comes down to it, Golson's the one who stands the better chance of breaking off those "chunk" plays Brian Kelly's likes to talk about, and which will ultimately decide. Both teams are too good up front for this to turn into a grind-it-out arm-wrestle, and so it's gonna come down to mistakes and whoever can offset those mistakes with the big play.

In the latter regard in particular, you go with the folks who've been here before. You go under on the score. You go, say, Alabama 22, Notre Dame 17.

Kiss of death for the Tide, in other words. You're welcome, Domers.

Ben Smith's blog.